Kenya shilling slides to Ksh.123 mark against the U.S dollar
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The
Kenyan Shilling has extended its year to date losses against the US dollar,
sliding below the Ksh.123 mark, breaching yet another confidence marker for the
local currency.
The
Shilling was quoted at Ksh.123.02 near the close of trading on Friday, taking its year to date losses against the green buck to nearly
nine per cent.
The
continued losses for the local currency are largely attributable to a stronger
dollar of the back of higher interest rates in advanced economies and portfolio
outflows by foreign investors from emerging and frontier markets such as Kenya.
At
the same time, the local unit has come under pressure from a widening current
account deficit driven largely by a higher export bill.
Higher
foreign debt payments have meanwhile depleted Kenya’s official foreign currency
reserves at the Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) which presently stand below the
statutory threshold of an equivalent four months of import cover.
Away
from the weakening official rate, analysts have continued to dispute the true
value of the Kenya Shilling, attributing
continued Forex (FX) shortages in the country to a potential over-valuation of
the local unit.
Analysts
at EFG Hermes have for instance called for the devaluation of the Kenyan
Shilling to reflect its ‘true’ value as they blame discrepancies in the
official rate to foreign investor apathy with the investors shunning the Kenyan
market to escape potential FX losses.
“The
first reason as to why there is a problem is that
the price is wrong. Supply does not meet demand at official rates. The price of
currency needs to change,” said EFG Hermes Head of Macro Strategy Simon
Kitchen.
The
CBK has nevertheless stuck to its gun insisting it maintains a flexible
exchange rate, intervening only to minimize volatility.


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