TIFA Poll: Raila most popular candidate at 47%, Ruto at 44%

A new poll by research firm TIFA has placed Azimio la Umoja Presidential candidate Raila Odinga as the most preferred contender in the August race to State House with a popularity rating of 46.7 percent.

Deputy President William Ruto came in second with a popularity rating of 44.4 percent while his Roots Party counterpart Prof. George Wajackoyah was third at 1.8 percent.

Agano Party presidential candidate David Mwaure's popularity stood at 0.1 percent according to the survey conducted between July 21 to July 26, 2022, across nine geographic regions including Central Rift, Coast, Lower Eastern, Mt. Kenya, Nairobi, Northern Nyanza, South Rift and Western regions.

A total of 2,056 Kenyans are reported to have participated in the survey.

According to TIFA, voting intentions for Odinga have changed somewhat across the country in that he has become more popular in the said zones apart from Central Rift with his biggest gains being in South Rift, Nyanza, Western and Lower Eastern.

Odinga's popularity was distributed across the regions as follows: Central Rift (15pc), Coast (57pc), Lower Eastern (46pc), Mt. Kenya (24pc), Nairobi (58pc), Northern (35pc), Nyanza (68pc) South Rift (45pc) and Western (48pc).

As per a June TIFA poll, Odinga's popularity stood at 20 percent(Central Rift), 50 percent (Coast) 46 percent (Lower Eastern), 24 percent (Mt. Kenya), 58 percent (Nairobi), 35 percent (Northern), 68 percent (Nyanza), 45 percent (South Rift) and 48 percent (Western).

According to TIFA, DP Ruto's popularity increased in six of the nine zones, especially in the Central Rift and Mt. Kenya regions. His candidature however suffered major declines in the Northern and Western regions.

The DP's popularity rating was distributed as follows: Central Rift (83pc), Coast (37pc), Lower Eastern (35pc), Mt. Kenya (66pc), Nairobi (35pc), Northern (31pc), Nyanza (12pc) South Rift (34pc) and Western (26pc).

In June the DP's popularity stood at 63 per cent (Central Rift), 26 percent (Coast) 29 percent (Lower Eastern), 53 percent (Mt. Kenya), 28 percent (Nairobi), 55 percent (Northern), 13 percent (Nyanza), 33 percent (South Rift) and 37 percent (Western).